Will the trend of rookie QBs covering the spread on Thursday Night Football continue Plus other best bets

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Do you enjoy lying to strangers Philipp Grubauer Jersey ? I do. Not big lies, but little lies that have no impact on anybody. For instance, while walking the dog this morning, I wore a Stanford football T-shirt. It's one of roughly 100 college football-related shirts or hoodies that I own because, well, I don't know why I own so many. Maybe I'm just addicted to buying shirts.But that's not the point. While walking my dog, I came acro s a person walking their dog, and we stopped because our dogs wanted to sniff each other's butts like dogs are addicted to doing. This is always awkward for me because I don't enjoy making small talk with absolute strangers, but this person whose name I don't know -- the dog's name was Bella -- asked me about my shirt. "You don't see many Stanford football shirts around here, did you go there," he asked."I played there, yeah," I lied.Why did I lie to this person? Why not? I'm big enough to pa s as a former football player, and it seemed like a more straightforward answer than "no, actually, I just own a trillion different college shirts because I'm a weirdo." So, if you're Bella's owner and reading this, I'm sorry I lied to you. It was nothing personal. . . ." ?Now let's break down Thursday's night's slate. The Hot Ticket The Pick: Panthers -8 (-110): This is a tricky situation, as the line opened with Carolina favored by four before Houston lost . It quickly moved to Carolina -7, where I got it earlier in the week, but it's now been Carolina -8. I still like it there, but if it gets any larger than this by the time you're able to get your bet in, I'd avoid it.Part of the problem is that the public can have a more considerable influence on the line for spotlight games like this one. Right now, everyone sees a bad Houston team with a backup QB and pounds the Panthers, but there's another stat out there Philipp Grubauer Kids Jersey to take notice of. In the history of Thursday Night Football, quarterbacks making their first career start have gone 10-0 ATS. That's a trend you shouldn't ignore -- but it's not enough to influence my feeling on this game. Just because Houston has exceeded expectations doesn't mean it has played well. The Texans have benefitted from some turnover luck as well as a game against one of the few teams that might be worst than it is. While I'm not here to tell you Carolina is a great team, I do think it's good enough to get a playoff spot this season, so I'm laying the points with the Panthers.Key Trend: Carolina has covered seven straight on the road.SportsLine's Larry Hartstein is 30-18-3 in his last 51 against-the-spread picks involving the Texans, . The Picks College Football The Pick: Under 58.5 (-110) --These teams are off to good starts to the 2021 season, and both have their defenses to thank for it. Appalachian State comes into tonight ranked 35th nationally in points allowed per po se sion (pre-garbage time) at 1.59, while Marshall is 54th at 1.88. Marshall has been more explosive offensively between the two, but some of that advantage will be lost playing on the road as Appalachian State has always been strong at home, where it's 28-4 straight up since the 2016 season. I also think Marshall's lack of a run game will hurt it in this spot. The Herd average 5.1 yards per carry but run the ball only 44.2% of the time, ranking 106th nationally for highest rush frequency. The Mountaineers pa s defense has looked strong to start the season and could limit the Herd in that area, and when App State does have the ball, it'll be happy to take the air out of it and run Jordan Eberle Men Jersey clock.Key Trend: The under is 8-5 in Appalachian State's last 13 games as a favorite. MLB The Pick: Astros -1.5 (-105) --I could get all technical here, but I don't have to. The fact is that sometimes baseball teams approach the end of the season the same way I do. Earlier this week, I told you I'm ready for the regular season to end, and so are the Angels. They've been officially eliminated from the postseason already and have won two of their last 10 and lost six straight. They look like a team that's ready for some rest and relaxation before getting guys like Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon back next spring.Meanwhile, Houston is looking to finish off the AL West and make sure it gets home field in its likely series against the Chicago White Sox. I'm betting on the Astros playing with a purpose and the Angels playing like a team without one. Key Trend: Of Los Angeles' last 15 lo ses, 13 have come by at least two runs.Riley Gates has his finger on the pulse of golf, and . Thursday Night Prop ParlayLet's get kind of stupid with a multi-prop parlay for tonight's NFL game paying +390. Under 262.5 pa sing yards (-115) Over 0.5 interceptions (-190) Over 66.5 receiving yards (-105)
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